基于灰色-BP神经网络模型的多情景交通用地需求预测——以长江中游城市群为例

为探索科学预测区域交通用地需求的合理途径,指导国土空间规划编制中交通用地规模的划定,拟通过灰色-BP神经网络模型识别主要社会经济影响因素,以长江中游城市群为例,在预测其远景交通用地需求规模的同时,基于城市群发展的阶段特征选取典型城市群样本设置3类情景,对不同情景下的交通用地需求分别进行预测。结果表明:1)城镇化水平、产业结构高度化程度和劳动力资源禀赋是当前影响长江中游城市群交通用地需求的主要社会经济因素。2)通过系统仿真试验对比不同方法的交通用地需求预测结果,可以发现基于灰色-BP神经网络模型的预测方法精度较高,误差较小,该预测方法对于区域交通用地规模的预测具有一定的适用性。预测得到的长江中游城市群2020和2030年交通用地需求分别为31.22万和49.07万hm2。3)不同情景下长江中游城市群交通用地需求预测结果存在明显差异,底线情景可作为划定交通用地规模的底限,一般情景可作为基准,极限情景可作为红线,长江中游城市群交通用地合理规模应以基准为参考,介于底线和红线之间。     

考虑土壤水平衡的灌区水资源优化配置研究

针对内蒙古河套灌区解放闸灌域地下水埋深较浅且矿化度高及黄河水量逐年减少等因素导致的农业用水严重短缺问题,本研究以解放闸灌域玉米为研究对象,耦合Jensen模型与土壤水平衡模型构建灌区尺度灌溉水资源优化配置模型,对不同的地下水埋深及土壤含水量情景下水资源优化配置方案进行研究,并利用Lingo软件编程求解模型。结果表明:当地下水埋深为2.5m时,引黄水量为3.85×10~8 m~3,可以达到5.55×10~8元的净经济效益;而土壤水含量为0.12～0.16时,净经济效益为[5.41,5.67]×108元。优化结果验证了模型在当地可行,并针对河套灌区解放闸灌域的不同土壤含水量与地下水埋深情景分别提供14种配水方案。     

基于MODIS数据的河套灌区遥感干旱监测

基于MODIS数据,以河套灌区为研究对象,计算灌区2000—2018年作物主要生育期内(5—8月)4种遥感干旱指数、温度植被干旱指数(TVDI)、植被供水指数(VSWI)、植被状态指数(VCI)、温度状态指数(TCI),并分析了4种干旱指数与0～20cm土壤相对含水量、降水量、灌区引水量相关性以及4种干旱指数之间的相互关系。结果表明:经过相关分析,TVDI与土壤相对含水量的相关性优于其他3种遥感干旱指数;在灌溉水量较多的灌区,遥感干旱指数与降雨量相关性较小而与灌区引水量呈现一定的相关关系。本研究发现TVDI在河套灌区有着良好的适用性。此外,在干旱监测中综合利用多种干旱指数进行分析对提高监测精度,科学合理地预报旱情具有重要意义。     

发光细菌及其在农业水质监测中的应用研究综述

因为具有高效、便捷、灵敏和低廉的特点,发光细菌己成为水质急性毒性快速检测的不二之选,在国内外被广泛应用于环境监测中。本文针对发光细菌的特性、种类、发光机理及其在农业水质检测方面的应用进行了综述,对发光细菌于农业水源污染检测中的前景作了展望。     

Grain yield,nitrogen use efficiency and tillage intensity in wheat as affected by precision nutrient management

ABSTRACT

The present studies were conducted to evaluate the effect of different nutrient management practices under two tillage options in wheat. The experiments were laid out in split-plot design with a combination of two varieties (WH 1105 and HD 2967) and two tillage options (Conventional and No tillage) in the main plot and six precision nutrient management practices [absolute control, site-specific nutrient management with Nutrient Expert for wheat (SSNM-NE)(170 kg nitrogen (N)/ha), SSNM NE+GreenSeeker (GS)(153/158 N kg/ha), N₁₂₀ (120 kg N/ha) before irrigation, N₁₂₀ after irrigation and N Rich (180 kg N/ha)] in subplot replicated thrice. The grain yield and quality characters in no tillage (NT) and conventional tillage (CT) were similar but agronomic efficiency was higher in NT. Both the varieties (WH 1105 and HD 2967) gave similar grain yield and quality. Wheat variety WH 1105 recorded significantly higher sodium dodecyl sulfate sedimentation (SDS) and gluten index. The treatment SSNM NE+GS had resulted in 107.1% higher grain yield than no nitrogen control but similar to enriched N plot (180 kg N/ha). The grain protein, SDS and gluten index in need-based nutrient management (SSNM+GS) treatment were found to be similar as recorded in SSNM-NE (170 kgN/ha) and N enriched plot (180 kg N ha^?1). The agronomic efficiency and recovery efficiency in SSNM+GS were also better than SSNM NE.     

氮肥减量后移对喷灌玉米产量和水氮利用效率的影响

【目的】优化井灌区田间水肥管理。【方法】试验于2018年6—9月在河南省许昌灌溉试验站进行,以当地主栽玉米品种登海3737(P1)和豫单9953(P2)为试验材料,设置3种施肥调控方式,分别为当地传统施肥模式CK(N、P2O5、K2O施量分别为315、75、75 kg/hm^2,全部基施),优化模式F1(N、P2O5、K2O施量分别为225、75、75kg/hm^2,40%三叶期和60%拔节期追肥),优化模式F2(N、P2O5、K2O施量分别为225、75、75kg/hm^2,30%三叶期、30%拔节期和40%大喇叭口期追肥),研究了喷灌水肥一体化下氮肥减量后移对不同品种夏玉米生长发育、产量和水分利用效率的影响。【结果】增加施肥频次和施肥时间后移可提高玉米叶面积系数(LAI)和延缓叶片衰老,增加玉米干物质累积量以及最大生长速率。喷灌水肥一体化(F1、F2处理均值)较传统施肥籽粒产量提高7.8%,耗水量降低11.9%,水分利用效率(WUE)提高22.2%,籽粒氮肥偏生产力(PFPY)提高51.1%,生物量氮肥偏生产力提高49.2%。登海3737干物质累积、最大生长速率、WUE和PFPY的均值较豫单9953分别增加2.8%、7.7%、8.5%和8.6%,最大生长速率出现的时间没有差异。豫单9953干物质积累快增期持续时间比登海3737增加5.3 d。不同品种之间产量和构成要素差异极显著。登海3737平均产量为11 319 kg/hm^2,较豫单9953增产8.4%,其中穗长、百粒质量对产量贡献较大,分别提高22.5%和18.2%。【结论】本研究中,F2处理为最佳施肥模式,即N、P2O5、K2O施量分别为225、75、75 kg/hm^2,施肥配比为30%三叶期、30%拔节期、40%大喇叭口期。     

Influence of soil phosphorus status,texture, pH and metal content on the efficacy of amendments to pig slurry in reducing phosphorus losses

Cost‐effective strategies for using chemically amended organic fertilizers need to be developed to minimize nutrient losses in surface and groundwater. Coupling specific soil physical and chemical characteristics with amendment type could increase their effectiveness. This study investigated how water‐extractable phosphorus (P) was affected by chemical amendments added to pig slurry and how this effect varied with soil properties. A 3‐month incubation study was conducted on 18 different mineral soils, stored at 10 °C and 75% humidity and treated with unamended and amended slurry which was incorporated at a rate equivalent to 19 kg total P (TP )/ha. The amendments examined were commercial‐grade liquid alum, applied at a rate of 0.88:1 [Al:TP ], and commercial‐grade liquid poly‐aluminium chloride (PAC ), applied at a rate of 0.72:1 [Al:TP ]. These amendments were previously identified by the authors as being effective in reducing incidental losses of P. The efficacy of the amendments varied with the soil test P, the degree of P saturation (DPS ) and the Mehlich aluminium, iron and calcium, but not soil texture. Chemical amendments were most effective in soils with DPS over approximately 20%. Due to their high cost, the incorporation of amendments into existing management practices can only be justified as part of a holistic management plan where soils have high DPS .     

莱芜水资源信息管理系统应用分析与展望

针对莱芜水资源无客水、水资源空间分布不均匀、水资源年际年内变化大以及水资源监测技术、监测方法和设备落后的现状,莱芜适时启用水资源信息管理系统,实现对水量、水位等诸多信息实时监控,为莱芜水资源的综合开发利用、优化调度提供了重要的决策依据。     

Influence of summer legume residue recycling and varietal diversification on productivity,energetics, and nutrient dynamics in basmati rice–wheat cropping system of western Indo-Gangetic Plains

A field experiment was conducted on summer mungbean residue recycling (SMBRR) and basmati rice–wheat cropping system (BRWCS) at New Delhi, India. The SMBRR enhanced the system productivity and net returns by ～19.1% and 22.1% compared to summer fallow (SF) with highest magnitude under genotypic sequence of P 2511/HD 2967. Two genotypes each in basmati rice (PB 1 and P 2511) and wheat (HD 2967 and HD 2733) responded well to SMBRR with respect to grain yield efficiency index (GYEI) ≥ 1.0. SMBRR also registered ～13.5% higher microbial biomass carbon (MBC) than SF. Soil organic carbon (SOC) storage also increased by ～6.8% in 0–30 cm soil layer. The rice–wheat–summer mungbean system produced significantly highest energy efficiency compared to the rice–wheat–summer fallow system with highest values under genotypic sequence of P 2511/HD 2967 as a result of better yield expression. Overall, SMBRR with suitable genotypic sequence improved the system productivity, profitability, and nutrient dynamics in BRWCS, which are vital for long-term sustainability of this system.